Power Rankings: Another top-10 matchup

 
Bill Haber/APColin Kaepernick’s performance has dropped off in the second half of games this season.

The top two teams in the weekly ESPN.com NFL Power Rankings (the New England Patriotsand the Green Bay Packers) play Sunday, but there’s another top-10 matchup taking place this week that has major playoff implications. 

The San Francisco 49ers (No. 9) host the Seattle Seahawks (No. 7) on Thanksgiving night. Neither team has looked as strong as it did last season when they met in the NFC Championship, but the 49ers’ offensive struggles this season have them looking like the odd team out this season. 

Colin Kaepernick is 1-3 in his career against the Seahawks (including playoffs) with a 36.9Total QBR. With two games against them in the next three weeks, can Kaepernick and the 49ers’ offense figure it all out in time? 

Red-zone woes 
The 49ers are averaging 20.7 points per game this season, their lowest since 2010, the last season before Jim Harbaugh took over as coach. 

One of the biggest weaknesses for the 49ers’ offense has come in the red zone. The 49ers have scored a touchdown on 40 percent of their red-zone drives this season, worst in the NFL. Nine times this season the 49ers reached the red zone and failed to score. 

Worst Red Zone TD Pct – This Season

49ers	40.0%
Jaguars	43.5%
Bills	43.6%
Jets	45.2%

Vernon Davis, who had eight red-zone touchdowns last season, has been targeted once in the red zone this season. Davis led the 49ers in red-zone targets last season but is tied for fifth this season. 

Kaepernick has no rushing touchdowns this season after he scored seven in the red zone his first two years as starter. 

Late-game struggles 
Another key factor in the 49ers’ offensive problems has been a failure to move the ball in the second half. 

Colin Kaepernick by Half This Season

	1st Half	2nd Half
Comp pct	63.3%	60.2%
Yds per att	8.5	6.5
TD-Int	11-2	4-4
Total QBR	70.9	40.3

The 49ers have scored 155 points in the first half of games this season with a plus-39 scoring margin. They’ve scored 70 points in the second half, better than only the Jets (64 points), with a minus-39 scoring margin. 

It is especially rough in the fourth quarter, where the 49ers have scored three touchdowns this season, one of which was on defense.Blaine Gabbert has as many touchdown drives in the fourth quarter as Kaepernick this season. 

This trend of poor second-half play is a continuation from the 2013 NFC Championship against the Seahawks. The 49ers blew a 10-3 halftime lead in that game as Kaepernick was 11-of-19 with two interceptions in the second half. 

Home sweet home?

Home Teams in Head-to-Head Meetings – Since 2012 (Including Playoffs)

	Seahawks	49ers
W-L	3-0	2-0
PPG	31.3	16.0
Opp PPG	11.0	11.5
TO margin	+7	Even

If history is any indication, the 49ers could have the edge Thanksgiving night. The home team in the Seahawks-49ers rivalry has won all five times (including playoffs) since the Seahawks drafted Russell Wilson. The road team has not scored more than 17 points in a game in that stretch, averaging 11.2 points per game.

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