2015年6月7日星期日

Is the Blue Jays' offensive juggernaut ready to win regularly?

Thanks to Chris Colabello's game-winning two-run single to run his hitting streak to 17 games, the Toronto Blue Jays came back to beat the Houston Astroson Sunday 7-6, extending their win streak to six games and becoming the first team to 300 runs scored on the season. Toronto ran up its American League-best run differential to plus-45.
Using expected wins derived from runs scored and allowed in aggregate, the Jays should be 34-24, with the best record in the AL and first place in the AL East. In reality, they’re just 28-30, a complete disconnect between expectations and actual results. Generally, teams with massive positive run differentials wind up with winning records. A big differential conveys a massive difference between the ability to score and prevent runs, and that’s supposed to yield wins.
Is the Blue Jays’ weird result where they have a great runs differential a suggestion that they’re significantly better than their record suggests?
There are two ways of thinking about it. The more orthodox sabermetric way to look at it is that run differential is supposed to even out, that they’ve been unlucky, and that teams who lead the league in scoring are going to eventually catch up to this kind of underperformance.
The less orthodox way to think about it is that the Jays’ problem isn’t with “luck,” but the fact that while they’ve shown they have the offense to annihilate weaker pitching and run up the score in individual games, they’re pretty vincible at other times.
One interesting factoid is that the Jays have reached double digits in runs scored in nine games already, winning all of them. The Jays’ combined score in those nine games was 99-54 -- their plus-45 run differential, by happenstance, going 9-0 even as they were allowing five runs per game.
Pitching is the big part of the problem for the Jays and why they’re not delivering on all of those runs scored. The only team that has allowed more runs than Toronto is the Colorado Rockies, playing at Coors Field and at extreme altitude as an automatic handicap. The Jays are a league-worst 1-22 when scoring three or fewer runs. For the sake of a non-random comparison, theBoston Red Sox are 6-20 in those games despite their mediocre rotation and a massive negative run differential (minus-43, and just one game behind the Blue Jays).
The Jays have some but not all of the tools to fix their pitching problem. In the rotation, they’re close to the bottom of the league in quality starts, which reflects the lack of a real ace. Optimistically, Aaron Sanchez might grow into that guy, and Drew Hutchison might get fully on track. However, right now the Jays don’t have that No. 1 starter, let alone a solid No. 2. Pitchers like R.A. Dickey andMark Buehrle can round out a strong rotation, but they don’t lead it.
The bullpen is also a major problem. On Sunday, the relief crew blew an AL-leading 10th save opportunity on Sunday, forcing the need to rally to win. Toronto’s pen performance reflects less the lack of a true closer as much as the lack of a reliably structured pen in general. They’ve also allowed the worst percentage of inherited runners to score (37 percent through Saturday). In terms of talent, a team can and should be able to win with guys such as Steve Delabar,Liam Hendriks, Brett Cecil and Aaron Loup. Since pulling Cecil from the closer’s role a month ago, manager John Gibbons hasn’t had the luxury of predictable pattern for who to use and when.
Put those things together, and it shouldn’t be that much of a surprise that Sunday’s win got the Blue Jays’ record in one-run decisions up to 4-12. If you have a weak pen and a mediocre rotation, you’re going to struggle to eke out wins in tight games. Their just-completed good week on the mound involved beating up on an injury-depleted Nationals lineup, then cooling off the all-or-nothing Astros.
The good news is that the Jays have the potential to get even stronger on offense. They owe much to the big first two months delivered by Josh Donaldson (15 homers, .939 OPS), Jose Bautista (11, .936) and Russell Martin (.836 OPS). Even should any of them cool off, they’ve yet to see Edwin Encarnacion go nuts at the plate the way that he can, and he nevertheless already has a dozen homers to his credit. Plus they’ve been at less than full strength. They already have Jose Reyesback at shortstop, and Michael Saunders and Devon Travis should also both be back from the DL and play major roles in the lineup at left field and second base down the stretch.
So your takeaway should be this: Run differential isn’t an immutable law that will make the Blue Jays better as a matter of faith in mathematical inevitability, especially as long as their pitching struggles to beat people with any consistency.
What the Jays have is the talent to bludgeon opponents into submission. What they need is enough pitching to make sure they can win the close games as well. If they’re the team that adds an ace in trade while finding a way to get better results from the pen, they’ll be better set to earn actual wins, and not just the ones you expect.
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It wasn't pretty, but Cavaliers find way to pull out Game 2

Guard Matthew Dellavedova couldn’t replace what Kyrie Irving brought to the team.
But the basketball that Dellavedova played in Game 2 came in rather handy in the key moments of the Cleveland Cavaliers’ win over the Golden State Warriors.
Dellavedova played airtight defense on NBA MVP Stephen Curry and scored all nine of his points in the fourth quarter and overtime, including a free throw with 10.1 seconds left that put Cleveland ahead for good.
The Cavaliers won on the strength of an amazing, though not-so-great shooting game from LeBron James and the play of role players such as Dellavedova andTimofey Mozgov (17 points and 11 rebounds).
The Cavaliers win was their first in NBA Finals win in Franchise history. They were 0-5 prior to Sunday night.
The Cavaliers are the fourth team to beat the Warriors at Oracle Arena this season, joining the Spurs, Bulls and Grizzlies.
James does just about everything, even on an off-night
James finished with 39 points, 16 rebounds and 11 assists, despite shooting 11-of-34 from the field.
James wasn’t the only one who had trouble shooting for the Cavaliers, who shot 32.3 percent from the field. The Elias Sports Bureau notes that’s the lowest by any team in an NBA Finals road win in the shot-clock era (since 1954-55).
Elias also noted that James …
- Joined James Worthy (1988 Lakers) as the only players in NBA Finals history to have a 35-point, 15-rebound, 10-assist game. Worthy did so in a Game 7 win over the Pistons.
- Notched his fifth career triple-double in the Finals, second-most all-time, trailing Magic Johnson, who had eight.
- Had his seventh postseason game with at least 30 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists. Only Oscar Robertson (eight) has had more.
James’ teams have won nine straight Game 2s when his team trailed 1-0 in a postseason series.
Defensive key: Shutting down Curry
The Cavaliers couldn’t shut down both Klay Thompson and Curry in the same game. But though Thompson scored 34 points, the job the Cavaliers did in thwarting Curry was ultra-impressive.
Curry was 5-23 from the field and 2-15 from 3-point range. His 13 missed 3-pointers are an NBA Finals record, breaking the mark of 11 set by John Starks of the Knicks in Game 7 of the 1994 NBA Finals against the Rockets.
Curry shot 22 percent from the field, which Elias notes is the third-worst field goal percentage by a reigning MVP who took at least 15 shots in an NBA Finals game. The only player to fare worse was Bob Cousy against the St. Louis Hawks in 1957. He shot 2-of-20 (10 percent) and 4-of-21 (21 percent).
In Cousy’s defense, shots were a lot harder to make in 1957 (when the league shot 38 percent) than they were in 2015 (when the league shot 45 percent).
Cousy also managed to win MVP of that Finals series.
Looking ahead
This is the sixth straight NBA Finals to be tied, 1-1 after two games, the fifth straight involving James.
The Game 3 winner of a tied NBA Finals series goes on to win the series 84 percent of the time (31-6).
The Cavaliers are heading home for Game 3. They’ve won 26 of their past 28 games in Cleveland.
BPI gives the Warriors a 61 percent chance to win the series. That’s a drop from 81 percent entering Game 2.
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2015年5月31日星期日

Looking ahead: Washington State Cougars

It's never too early to look ahead to next season. Over the coming weeks, we will examine what comes next for each team in the Power 5 conferences and also those outside the Power 5 who could make noise on the national stage. Today: the Washington State Cougars.
The past summer, Ernie Kent shuffled through the parking lot of a Las Vegas high school gymnasium and the 113-degree heat that covered it as he searched for prospects at an AAU tournament. The former Oregon head coach had recently accepted the top job at Washington State. He seemed excited to move forward and begin his first head-coaching stint since he was fired by the Ducks in 2010.
He recognized the challenges that would accompany the post -- the Cougars have reached the NCAA tournament just two times (2007 and 2008) since 1994 -- but remained positive about his ability to help Washington State script a new, more fruitful chapter.
He might need more time to turn the page. Washington State finished 13-18 overall and 7-11 in the Pac-12 the past season. Its opponents managed a 52.4 effective field goal percentage (296th nationally per KenPom.com), and the team will lose top scorer DaVonte Lacy(16.9 points per game), Dexter Kernich-Drew (43 percent from the 3-point line) and 7-footer Jordan Railey. Aaron Cheatum, Trevor Dunbar and Jackie Davis -- none averaged more than 1.0 ppg -- decided to transfer.
The rebuilding process will continue. Kent has added some intriguing pieces to a program that won three more games and four more conference games than the 2013-14 team. But Washington State could struggle again in 2015-16 as Kent continues to put things together in Pullman.
What the immediate future holds:
Conor Clifford, a 7-foot junior college prospect from Saddleback College in Southern California, had offers from multiple Power 5 schools. His decision to pick Washington State helped fill a major void for WSU with Riley departing.
Paired with Josh Hawkinson (14.7 PPG, 10.8 RPG, 1.1 BPG), Houston transferValentine Izundu (who sat out 2014-15) and Clifford could form a strong frontcourt for the Cougars.
“Not only [did Clifford have] the most options, but he's also kind of the missing piece, particularly with this group that's coming in the door,” Kent told the Spokesman-Review the past month. “We needed a five-man, needed some size like that, so I think the fact that he was so highly recruited is also a really good indication of where our program is.”
There are more questions but more depth on the perimeter with Lacy and Kernich-Drew both gone. But the return of veteran Ike Iroegbu (8.9 PPG) helps.Que Johnson, Brett Boese and Ny Redding all averaged less than 20 minutes per game the past season. They could all carry heavier loads next year.
Recruit Vionte Daniels, Washington's 4A prep player of the year, and juco transfer Charles Callison could help immediately too. Junior college transfersDerrien King and Renard Suggs could also play their way into the mix.
Clifford is the most important addition. If Washington State intends to take the next step, it will need its talented frontcourt players to lead the way. In the future, Kent will need more guys such as Clifford -- elite prospects who could choose other big-league schools -- to pick Washington State.
The latter has been the obstacle for decades.
Yeah, Seattle produces talent. But Pullman isn't any closer to the city than Corvallis, Spokane or Eugene. That trek across the snowy mountains to get to the other side of the state doesn't help the program's cause. But Kent boosted the previous season's win tally in his first year. This year's group could also provide an upgrade if the frontcourt matches the hype.
Kent might need more elite players to compete in the Pac-12. The team's supporters will definitely need patience.

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If Bryce Harper is an All-Star, he needs to be in HR Derby

Before we dial up the fauxtrage all the way up to 11, let’s be clear about where things stand: Bryce Harper may -- or may not -- participate in this year’s Home Run Derby, and some folks are understandably wondering what’s up with that. With 18 homers on the season, he’s tied with Seattle’s Nelson Cruz for the major league lead, having hit 13 in May. If anybody should be in the Home Run Derby, it’s Bryce Harper. If he’s absent, seriously, why have it?
Harper finished second in the 2013 Home Run Derby to Yoenis Cespedes. Now, at 22 years old, he’s breaking out as one of the best players in baseball because he has tapped into the power people projected from him going back to high school. He is the game’s hottest ticket, the guy you want to see, the guy the game itself needs on the field if you want to validate the Home Run Derby as a front page “feat of strength” contest. What’s the point of having the event if the National League’s home run leader bugs out?
Harper’s stated reason for adding any doubt over his participation is his dad’s health. Harper has said his dad’s work ethic has been a major motivator for him in the past, and nobody should forget that Harper’s dad was the man serving up meatballs to his son in the 2013 Derby. And that automatically engenders sympathy: Guy loves his dad, no film at 11 and we’re done here, right?
Wrong. This isn’t a scary situation in which Ron Harper is seriously ill -- he’s recovering from rotator cuff surgery. So the “problem,” as far as this goes, is that he won’t be available to put cookies on a plate for Bryce in July.
Keep in mind, Harper didn’t say he was opting out of the All-Star Game in Cincinnati, just that he hasn’t made up his mind about participating in the Home Run Derby. Apparently because we don’t know yet who’s available to play-act Craig Ehlo to Harper’s Michael Jordan in a bit of July fun, the game’s great staged showcase for slugging prowess.
If Harper was so concerned for his dad that he was going to skip all the All-Star activities, that would be one thing. But if Harper is in Cincinnati as an All-Star accepting his due from fans at the ballot box, there really isn’t much excuse for his opting out of the Home Run Derby. That’s a scenario that would leave fans feeling cheated of something that's supposed to be fun.
Ultimately, the outcome of the event doesn't matter, but if anyone is going to give us something that might approach Josh Hamilton's epic 2008 Derby performance in Yankee Stadium, it's Harper. And if anybody is going to give us a slugger vs. slugger duel to compare to McGwire vs. Bonds in 1996, it's Cruz vs. Harper. We want to see that, and we should.
So, before this becomes any more controversial than it already is, here’s hoping a quiet phone call from Commissioner Manfred and a quick casting call for somebody capable of conjuring up meatballs faster than the Swedish Chef fixes this, and fixes it before the full weight of the opinionated jabberocracy ramps up to full dudgeon to see who can be the angriest sportswriter over this very solvable “problem.”
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2015年5月26日星期二

The important tips when custom sports wear for your team

Nowadays, custom sports uniforms have become a very popular item for enticing new clients and improving service to the existing customers. Many business owners focus on gifting their existing and prospective customers with customized sports uniforms. As providers of uniforms to various sports teams, you need to know the right manufacturers. If you can provide the sports uniforms to the different sports team, maintaining a good quality and reasonable price, then you will be rated as the most preferred supplier of sports uniforms.
There are many online manufacturers in today's market who offer you a widespread of choice in sports uniforms. Whether the demand for sports jerseys and kits is for high school kids or professional league players, you can keep the customers happy with customized sports gear. The most cost-effective way to customize the sports uniforms is through silk printing or screen printing. However, if the customers are professional players, then they will not hesitate to shell out a little more cash and choose the modernized method of customization, sublimation. In both the methods, you can add logo of the team, desired color, design, name, and number. You can put on your creative hat and make some unique designs as well. These are very much appealing to the new teams.
You can take help of online screen printing design studios, to upload an image or logo. You can go for any fabric, but as the various sports involve a lot of physical activity, it is better to go for loose fitting shirts. In games like basketball, rugby or football, where there is lot of tugging and pushing involved, a tight fitting shirt can result in wear and tear.
Once you are satisfied with the services and authenticity of the companies, make a list of three to four manufacturers. You can contact them about the price quotes and discounts. You also need to know about the delivery details. Once you are satisfied with all the terms and conditions, you can make them your regular supplier. Make sure to maintain the quality of the sports uniforms and offer your customers at a competitive price. Your business will soar up soon.
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Tortorella's 5 keys for a Rangers win in Game 6

The New York Rangers are again facing elimination, trailing the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in the Eastern Conference finals, with Game 6 on tap from Tampa’s Amalie Arena on Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET. If anyone knows about these two franchises, it’s former NHL coach John Tortorella, who won a Stanley Cup with the Bolts in 2004 and led the Blueshirts to the Eastern Conference finals in 2012. What is it going to take for the Rangers to save their season? Tortorella serves up some chalk talk with a few keys for the Rangers heading into Tuesday’s do-or-die game:
1. Special-teams savvy: “First of all, they need to score a power-play goal,” Tortorella told ESPN.com in a telephone conversation Tuesday afternoon. “That really hurt them last game; it really took some of their momentum away and they seemed to lose a little energy.”
The Rangers were blanked on all four power-play opportunities Sunday night after tallying a pair of man-up goals in each of their previous three games. Additionally, the Lightning did not allow a single shot from a "high-danger area" while short-handed, according to ESPN Stats & Information.
Power-play woes are nothing new for the Blueshirts -- Tortorella had to field questions about their much-maligned unit often during his tenure in New York -- but he expressed confidence they will find the back of the net in Game 6: “I know they will.”
2. Defense is key: Under Tortorella’s structured shot-blocking system, the Rangers developed a reputation as one of the stingiest defensive teams in the league. The club’s system has changed under coach Alain Vigneault to employ a more opportunistic, offensive approach, but that strong defensive identity remains the same, even though the Rangers finished third in the league in total offense (3.02 goals/game) during the regular season.
“They need to be who they are,” Tortorella said. “Everyone loves talking about offense, but you have to defend. ... They defend well and their offense comes off of that.”
This is where the Rangers need stalwarts Dan Girardi, Ryan McDonagh and Marc Staal rise to the occasion.
“They can't get too excited, and they won't,” Tortorella said. “This is a veteran group, they’re well-coached; they need to be themselves.”
3. Hank has to be Hank: The Rangers have long relied on goaltender Henrik Lundqvist as their backbone, and they need him now more than ever to play like the King. Lundqvist has been so steady in previous postseason runs that it was a shock to the system to see the Vezina Trophy winner surrender six goals in both Games 3 and 4. But if there is anything to know about the steady Swede, it is that he excels when the Rangers are facing elimination. That should give New York a sense of comfort heading into their biggest game of the postseason yet.
“I’ll just go on my own experience -- as the stakes get higher and the closer it gets to [the Stanley Cup finals], his game keeps rising,” Tortorella said. "He has to be the best player tonight, and I think he will be.”
4. Neutralize the opponent: Both clubs possess ample speed throughout their lineups, so it’s no surprise that, at times, this series has resembled a track meet. That’s not necessarily the sort of game the Rangers want to play, Tortorella said, especially since Tampa Bay’s offensive arsenal fuels a strong transition game, led by Tyler Johnson and his Triplets line.
“You let that little [Tyler] Johnson get going throughout that neutral zone, and you can't stop him,” Tortorella said.
Maintaining gaps, pressuring the defense and clogging up the neutral zone are essential to limiting the Lightning’s opportunities.
“You’re not going to control them completely,” Tortorella said. “But you have to inhibit them a little bit.”
5. Rely on experience: If nothing else, the Rangers can seek solace in the fact they have had their backs against the wall plenty of times before and emerged on the winning side. Knowing what to expect and how to stay calm with their season on the line should help bolster this group’s confidence.
Tortorella thinks Game 6 will be more defensive-minded than physical, considering what is at stake and the small margin for error. The Rangers know that they cannot afford to let emotions play a role and that discipline will be a key.
“They’re not going to get caught up in all the bulls--- of running around,” Tortorella said. "It’s such a close series that it’s whoever blinks first.”
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Looking ahead: Stanford Cardinal

It’s never too early to look ahead to next season. Over the coming weeks, we will examine what comes next for each team in the Power 5 conferences and also those outside the Power 5 who could make noise on the national stage. Today: the Stanford Cardinal
The biggest thing to happen to the Stanford Cardinal basketball this season didn’t happen on the Cardinal campus.
It happened down the road, at Berkeley.
Stanford’s Pac 12 travel rival, Cal, cleaned up on the recruiting trail this year. Coach Cuonzo Martin secured the nation’s fifth best class, anchored by Jaylen Brown and Ivan Rabb, the Nos. 4 and 8 players, respectively, in their class.
That does not exactly throw cold water on the seat already steaming under Stanford coach Johnny Dawkins.
The two academic stalwarts of the conference, separated by just 40 miles, will always be compared to each another. This year, the comparison might not be terribly comparative. The Bears are loaded, good enough to challenge the hierarchy in the Pac 12. Stanford is not.
After losing four of five to finish the season, Stanford did regroup and win the NIT, but those were not the postseason letters fans were clamoring to see -- especially on the heels of a Sweet 16 berth in the 2014 NCAA tournament.
The cold, hard truth is that under Dawkins’ stewardship the Cardinal have made just one NCAA tournament in seven years, and have never won more than 10 league games in a season.
That the road doesn’t look terribly easy this season -- Chasson Randle, Anthony Brown and Stefan Nastic and their combined 48 points per game (out of 72 for the team) are gone -- could give Dawkins a mulligan this year.
Or it could add to the pressure he’s under, especially with things percolating down the road at Berkeley.
What the immediate future holds: Losing the top three scorers from last season ought to mean the cupboard is pretty bare for Dawkins. It’s actually not, because the next four leading scorers return. Rosco Allen, Marcus Allen, Reid Travis and Michael Humphrey are a more than adequate core group to build around.
Though each remained more in the background, allowing Randle, Brown and Nastic to handle the scoring, all played significant minutes and should be able to slide into more critical roles.
Rosco Allen and Travis, who worked the boards well last season, give the Cardinal a decent frontcourt and Marcus Allen will get the assistance of his twin brother, Malcolm, in the backcourt. Malcolm missed all of last season with a broken wrist.
Humphrey showed real flashes in spots, forced into a more active role while Rosco Allen nursed a back injury. Humphrey had 14 and 11 against Cal, then 14 and 15 against Oregon State, but just as he was finding his rhythm, he suffered a sprained ankle and played sparingly down the stretch.
The real key for Stanford, though, will be depth. Dawkins adds three recruits --Josh Sharma, a center ranked No. 100 in the ESPN 100 based largely on his raw potential, and two three-star small forwards -- Marcus Sheffield and Cameron Walker. Walker was a high school scoring machine, averaging 19.8 points per game, and Sheffield, too, has a good knack for scoring.
But none of that adds certainty for Stanford, especially in a Pac-12 that only is getting better.
Especially right down the road, at Berkeley.
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