Top things to know: Seahawks at 49ers

 
AP Photo/Paul SpinelliThe Seahawks and 49ers will go face-to-face on Thanksgiving night

The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers rekindle their rivalry on Thanksgiving night at 8:30 ET. One of these two teams have represented the NFC in the Super Bowl each of the last two seasons, but both trail the first-place Cardinals by two games in the NFC West. 

Here are some of the top things to know for the Thanksgiving nightcap. 

Home sweet home 

The home team has won all five meetings since the Seahawks drafted Russell Wilson in 2012, including the Seahawks' victory in the NFC Championship Game last season. 

Wilson and the Seahawks have struggled to score in San Francisco, averaging just 11.5 points per game in their last two road meetings. That’s compared to an average of 31.3 points in their three home meetings. 

In fact, in each of those five meetings, the road team failed to score more than 17 points. 

Crabtree vs. Sherman: The Rematch 

This is the teams’ first meeting since Richard Sherman’s passionate postgame interview criticizing Michael Crabtree following last season’s NFC Championship Game. 

Crabtree has zero touchdowns in nine career games against the Seahawks, and he has caught only 49.2 percent of his targets with six drops. Against other opponents, Crabtree has a 64.0 percent career catch rate. 

Sherman shut down Crabtree in their last meeting. Crabtree did not catch a pass on the right side of the field, where Sherman typically patrols. 

However, Sherman has not made as much of an impact on the stat sheet this season. The brash cornerback has just one interception this season after leading the league with eight last season. 

San Francisco second-half struggles 

The 49ers' offense is averaging just 20.7 points per game this season, the lowest total in the Jim Harbaugh era. The offense has been fine in the first half of games, scoring 155 points, seventh best in the NFL, but it has scored just 70 points in the second half. Only the New York Jets have fewer second-half points. 

Colin Kaepernick career vs. Seahawks
including playoffs

W-L	1-3
Comp pct	52.1%
Pass YPG	154.8
TD-Int	3-7
Total QBR	36.9

Colin Kaepernick in particular has struggled late in games. In the first half of games, he has thrown 11 touchdowns and two interceptions with a 70.9 Total QBR. His numbers plummet in the second half, as he’s thrown just four touchdowns with four interceptions and a 40.3 Total QBR. 

The second-half trend was also an issue in the 2013 NFC Championship Game. The 49ers were up 10-3 at halftime of that game before losing 23-17. Kaepernick went 11-for-19 with a passing touchdown and two interceptions in the second half of that game.

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Power Rankings: Another top-10 matchup

 
Bill Haber/APColin Kaepernick’s performance has dropped off in the second half of games this season.

The top two teams in the weekly ESPN.com NFL Power Rankings (the New England Patriotsand the Green Bay Packers) play Sunday, but there’s another top-10 matchup taking place this week that has major playoff implications. 

The San Francisco 49ers (No. 9) host the Seattle Seahawks (No. 7) on Thanksgiving night. Neither team has looked as strong as it did last season when they met in the NFC Championship, but the 49ers’ offensive struggles this season have them looking like the odd team out this season. 

Colin Kaepernick is 1-3 in his career against the Seahawks (including playoffs) with a 36.9Total QBR. With two games against them in the next three weeks, can Kaepernick and the 49ers’ offense figure it all out in time? 

Red-zone woes 
The 49ers are averaging 20.7 points per game this season, their lowest since 2010, the last season before Jim Harbaugh took over as coach. 

One of the biggest weaknesses for the 49ers’ offense has come in the red zone. The 49ers have scored a touchdown on 40 percent of their red-zone drives this season, worst in the NFL. Nine times this season the 49ers reached the red zone and failed to score. 

Worst Red Zone TD Pct – This Season

49ers	40.0%
Jaguars	43.5%
Bills	43.6%
Jets	45.2%

Vernon Davis, who had eight red-zone touchdowns last season, has been targeted once in the red zone this season. Davis led the 49ers in red-zone targets last season but is tied for fifth this season. 

Kaepernick has no rushing touchdowns this season after he scored seven in the red zone his first two years as starter. 

Late-game struggles 
Another key factor in the 49ers’ offensive problems has been a failure to move the ball in the second half. 

Colin Kaepernick by Half This Season

	1st Half	2nd Half
Comp pct	63.3%	60.2%
Yds per att	8.5	6.5
TD-Int	11-2	4-4
Total QBR	70.9	40.3

The 49ers have scored 155 points in the first half of games this season with a plus-39 scoring margin. They’ve scored 70 points in the second half, better than only the Jets (64 points), with a minus-39 scoring margin. 

It is especially rough in the fourth quarter, where the 49ers have scored three touchdowns this season, one of which was on defense.Blaine Gabbert has as many touchdown drives in the fourth quarter as Kaepernick this season. 

This trend of poor second-half play is a continuation from the 2013 NFC Championship against the Seahawks. The 49ers blew a 10-3 halftime lead in that game as Kaepernick was 11-of-19 with two interceptions in the second half. 

Home sweet home?

Home Teams in Head-to-Head Meetings – Since 2012 (Including Playoffs)

	Seahawks	49ers
W-L	3-0	2-0
PPG	31.3	16.0
Opp PPG	11.0	11.5
TO margin	+7	Even

If history is any indication, the 49ers could have the edge Thanksgiving night. The home team in the Seahawks-49ers rivalry has won all five times (including playoffs) since the Seahawks drafted Russell Wilson. The road team has not scored more than 17 points in a game in that stretch, averaging 11.2 points per game.

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Patriots/Packers matchups to know (QB/special teams)

There’s a potential Super Bowl preview next week pitting the two hottest teams in the NFL –- the Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots -- against each other. We’re sure you’re going to want to hear a lot about the matchups this week, so we’re here to oblige with some information on a matchup you’ll hear a lot about and another that you may not hear much about, but that you’ll want to keep in mind as you follow this game. 

The matchup that will get a lot of attention … 
You’re going to hear a lot about the Tom Brady versus Aaron Rodgers matchup this week. 

Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have never started in a game against each other. Rodgers got some mopup duty in a blowout loss against the Patriots in 2006. Matt Flynn started when the Packers and Patriots concluded the regular season with a 31-27 Patriots win in 2010. 

Rodgers and Brady have the two highest QBRs in the league since Week 4. Rodgers has 25 touchdowns and two interceptions in eight games. Brady has 23 and six in that same span. The two are separated by one percentage point in completion percentage, with Rodgers up 68.3 to 67.3. 

Brady can expect to see a lot of blitzing from the Packers defense, which has sent extra men on 178 opposing quarterback dropbacks (fifth-most in the NFL). But that’s of little concern to him. Brady’s QBR against the blitz is 93.1, best in the league. 

Rodgers ranks fourth-best against the blitz, but he probably won’t see it often. The Patriots have blitzed 97 times, 28th-most in the NFL. 

And the matchup you might not (but that you should watch closely) 
The Green Bay Packers rank first in the NFL in Expected Points Added (EPA) on offense. The New England Patriots rank third. In other words, their offenses have performed with the highest level of success in the NFL 

The Packers rank 11th in Defensive EPA. The Patriots rank 13th. 

The two teams are fairly even within those two aspects of the game. 

But where do they differ? 

The biggest differential is in special teams’ performance. The Patriots have the edge there by a good margin. 

The Patriots rank second in the NFL in special teams EPA. The Packers rank 26th. 

The Patriots’ special team excellence comes in a couple of areas. 

Their kicker, Stephen Gostowski, leads the NFL with 26 field goals and has missed only once all season. He ranks eighth in kicking accuracy over the last three seasons (90 percent). Packers kicker Mason Crosby ranks 35th in that same span (79.5 percent), though he’s a steady 16 for 18 on tries this season. 

The Patriots are also helped by a pair of blocked kicks against opponents field goals. Opposing kickers are 19 for 24 against them this season. Opponents are 15 for 16 against the Packers. 

The Patriots have a solid kick return game on both ends, ranking sixth in yards per kick return and fifth in yards per kick return allowed. The Packers are 27th and 24th. 

The two also rank about even in punting performance, though some may give Ryan Allen a slight edge based on their most recent recollection of him- his booming 66-yard punt against the Lions on Sunday. 

The player to watch in the return game is Julian Edelman, who ranks second in the league at 13.5 yards per punt return. The Packers have only allowed 5.8 yards per punt return, fifth-best in the NFL and haven’t allowed a punt return longer than 13 yards all season. 

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Will Manning solve Dolphins' defense?

 
AP Photo/L.G. Patterson
Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos host the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. 

After losing two of three games on their just-completed road trip, the Denver Broncosreturn home to face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. 

Denver has won all five home games this season, all against teams currently over .500, and the Broncos have the NFL's best home record over the past three seasons (19-2). 

But coming home may not be a cure-all for Denver, as the Dolphins have done well against big-name quarterbacks this season. 

Dolphins' strong defense 
Miami leads the NFL with a 33.1 opponent Total QBR this season, and the Dolphins have been successful against top quarterbacks. 

Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers each had his worst completion percentage of the season against the Dolphins. Miami beat two of those three quarterbacks, and Rodgers needed a touchdown pass with three seconds left to get the win. 

Dolphins' Pass Defense 20+ Yds Downfield
This Season

		NFL Rank
Completions	7	Best
Comp pct	19.4	Best
Yds per att	6.8	Best
Total QBR	24.1	Best

One of the reasons opponents struggle against the Dolphins is an inability to hit the deep ball, as Miami has allowed the lowest completion percentage, yards per attempt and Total QBR against passes 20-plus yards downfield this season. 

Peyton Manning has completed 48.8 percent of his passes thrown 20-plus yards downfield this season, fifth-best in the NFL. 

Overall, the Dolphins' defense has allowed 4.69 yards per play this season, fewest in the NFL. And Miami isn't giving away yards, with only 13 penalties enforced against its defense this season, second-fewest in the NFL. 

Manning not on point 
Manning’s three worst Total QBR games of the season have come in the Broncos' past three games, largely because of turnovers. 

Peyton Manning This Season

	1st 7 gms	Last 3 gms
W-L	7-1	1-2
Comp pct	69.0%	63.9%
TD-Int	22-3	8-6
Total QBR	90.1	48.9

Manning has thrown multiple interceptions in each of those three games, his first such streak with the Broncos and first since 2010. Manning hasn’t thrown multiple interceptions in four straight games since his fourth season in 2001. 

Although Manning has thrown eight touchdown passes in his past three games, five of those came against the winless Raiders. 

Missing Weapons? 
Both Emmanuel Sanders (concussion) and Julius Thomas (ankle) missed practice on Wednesday after leaving last week's game with injuries.

Peyton Manning by Target This Season

	J. Thomas/ Sanders	All Others
Comp pct	75%	63%
Yds per att	9.7	7.3
TD-Int	19-2	11-7

Thomas (12 receiving touchdowns) and Sanders (seven) lead the team in receiving touchdowns this season, and both have caught more than 70 percent of their targets. No other receiver on the team has done that. 

Manning has completed 23 of 26 passes (89 percent) when targeting Sanders and Thomas in the red zone this season for 13 touchdowns. He’s completed only 22 of 35 (63 percent) with five touchdowns to all other Broncos.

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